Manchester Market Insight – Q1 2021
By John Parker, Business Development Director
Manchester has long been regarded as the UK’s go-to market for buy-to-rent investors who have enjoyed sustained year on year rental and capital growth. Values in the centre of Manchester have nearly doubled since 2008 and rental values have increased year on year by 5 – 6%. With prices in super-prime Manchester starting from £245,000 for a 1-bedroom apartment, the challenge now for investors is to find pockets of Manchester that are still undervalued and primed for long term rental and capital growth.
This significant growth wouldn’t be possible without the influx of professionals seeking convenient rental accommodation in Manchester city centre. In fact, Generation Y (those born in the 80’s and 90’s) makes up 89% of the city ’s population growth, which fuels the growing demand year after year.
As a result of Manchester continued property market growth, London is seeing less and less prominence. Average property prices in the capital decreased by 4.1% in 2019, whilst rental growth dipped to its lowest since October 2010. In contrast, Manchester ’s average property prices increased by 5.5% and rental values increased by 6.5%.
Manchester Market Snapshot
6 postcodes in Manchester enjoyed the highest national property price increases in 2020
The average apartment in Manchester is just over a third of the price of a London apartment
Manchester’s population has grown by 149% since 2002
Manchester property values up 34.36% over past 4 years
Manchester postcodes boast some of the highest Average buy-to-rent yields in the UK, at 6.0%
Manchester rents predicted to rise by 4.2% per year for the next 5 years
The average property is let within 2 weeks of going to market
At 43%, Manchester has one of the highest proportion of private renters in the UK
Our newest launch, Town Square is located in the urban village of Eccles which has just been confirmed by Rightmove in January of this year as the UK’s top performing market hotspot in 2020 with a staggering 16% increase in property values.
Eccles, on the west side of Manchester, has been named as the property hot spot of 2020, with prices rising faster than anywhere else in Britain according to the property website Rightmove. Just 12 months ago the average asking price in this undervalued pocket of Manchester was £184,299 compared with £213,703 at the start of the year.
Eccles is one of three Manchester suburbs in the top-five fastest rising areas of 2020, with the other two also in the north of England. In a dramatic reversal to rankings in previous years, a wealthy London commuter town, Sevenoaks, was named by Rightmove as the location where the average price fell the steepest during 2020, falling from £693,569 to £681,069.
Eccles benefits from nearly every acknowledged contributory to a top performing residential property market benefiting from excellent transport links and academic credentials. Located just five miles west from Central Manchester, Town Square is under 12 minutes by Train or Metrolink to anywhere in the city centre and there are 24 schools within a 2-mile radius rated good or outstanding by Ofsted.
ECCLES is THE UK’s BEST PERFORMING pOSTCODE & named as the property hot spot of 2020
Eccles, home of the iconic cakes and located west of Manchester, has seen a bigger annual increase in average asking prices than anywhere else in Britain, up 16%. The national average increase is 6.6%. Average asking prices in the town have risen from £184,299 in 2019 to £213,706 this year.
Town Square is a collection of just 41 beautifully presented apartments with a resident roof top garden set within the UK’s top preforming postcode. The development has a superior specification and finish throughout, with branded appliances in the kitchen and bathrooms and will raise a new standard of living in a market that’s expectations are changing fast.
Because of Eccles excellent investment potential as the UK’s leading investment consultancy Surrenden Invest have exclusive access to the best buy-to-rent opportunity in this undervalued pocket of Greater Manchester.
Please do not hesitate to contact one of our experienced property consultants if you would like to discuss the investment case for Manchester in greater detail.
Business Development Manager
For regular updates and advice on investing in Manchester Buy-to-Rent property, follow Surrenden Invest on social media or get in touch today.
Manchester buy to let market to thrive as Brexit deadline draws closer
2018 was an outstanding year for Manchester’s commercial property market which retained the number one position of office take up across the Big Six Regional Cities (Birmingham, Bristol, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Leeds and Manchester).
With the new office space take up predominantly from large companies relocating to the Manchester area, a trend which has continued to grow since 2018. Resultantly the city has seen a massive surge in job creation.
In 2018, 1.75 million sqft of office space was transacted in Manchester across 314 deals, up by 54% on the 10-year average. 2018 top deals included:
This trend continues throughout the 2019 with recent a recent deal (June) by The Hut Group, which took up 280,000sqft and British Telecommunication lined up for over 200,000sqft office space in Manchester centre in Q3 2019.
Since 2015, the city’s population has grown by nearly 6%, according to Manchester City Council. An impressive 65% of graduates of universities in Manchester stay in the city after graduating. Additionally, 36% of people from Manchester who studied elsewhere returned home after graduating. Also many young professionals choose Manchester to seek employment as the city offers rich and diverse opportunities across all sectors.
This has resulted in high demand for residential accommodation in Manchester. The city is undergoing rapid change and growing at a rate of around 2,000 homes per year. This is to house Manchester’s rapidly growing population, which is expected to increase from 530,300 in 2016 to 625,000 by 2025. As the demand for homes continues to rise house prices are expected to go up by 57% by the end of 2028.
This is creating an excellent opportunity for buy-to-let investors looking to address the city’s housing under-supply backlog, with some estimates showing the need for as many as 40,000 additional homes. Manchester’s growth and emerging status as a global city provides all the ingredients to ensure the city remains brexit-proof and continues to grow even through political and economic uncertainty. Brexit negotiations seem to make very little impact, on the property market as overseas investment, mainly from Asia and the Far East reaching the highest level this year.
“With a growing population of young professionals and students, we have identified the ever increasing need for accommodation in areas of Manchester with good transport links, relatively affordable rents and amenities on the doorstep. These areas offer potential for long term demand and continued growth in values. The city has so much to offer. Ideally located, continuously outperforming the wider UK property market, delivering healthy returns for investors and attracting more and more professionals, it is clear to see that Manchester is perfect for prime city centre living to live, work and invest.”
Located just 10 minutes away from the city centre, the contemporary Middlewood Plaza development with pricing starting from £159,980 has been designed to suit the needs of urban professionals working in both Manchester and nearby Salford. Consisting of stylish apartments, townhouses and duplexes, and located in the popular Salford area, Middlewood Plaza is the ideal investment property for those looking to be a part of North West England’s bright future.
For regular updates on investing in Manchester buy to let hotspots such as Middlewood Plaza, follow Surrenden Invest on social media.
Growth location focus: Manchester
Manchester is the UK’s media hub, with MediaCityUK in the Salford area of the city acting as a magnet for creative talent, as well as the ideal incubator environment for new creative and digital start-ups.
As an eminently desirable urban location, Manchester is experiencing rapid population growth. The city’s 2018 population of 553,500 people is expected to grow to 631,500 by 2041 based on current trends – an increase of 14.1% according to the ONS.
“One reason that Manchester is such a key growth location is the city’s unique combination of economic opportunity and superb urban lifestyle. This blended offering led The Economist to crown Manchester as the UK’s most liveable city in its 2018 Global Liveability Index.”
The Greater Manchester urban area accounts for 40% of total GVA in the North West, making the city the focal point for the entire region. According to Savills, that region will lead the UK in terms of house price growth over the next five years, achieving compound growth of 21.6% by 2023. 2020 in particular looks to be an exciting year based on the Savills projections, with the North West tipped to enjoy house price growth of 6.0% over the course of the year.
Capitalising on this population growth is the Middlewood Corridor located in between Manchester and Salford, The Middlewood Corridor is the largest of three regeneration corridors (with over £1 bn of regeneration planned) that make up an ambitious renewal programme for Manchester and Salford. It is being built around existing retail parks, with regeneration work running from 2015 to 2030.
Middlewood Plaza is located in the heart of the Middlewood Corridor, marking the start of a new era for Manchester’s residential sector and those who invest in it. The development is set to capitalise on the enormous economic potential of the Middlewood Corridor Regeneration Zone, as well as benefit from the host of amenities that the completed district will provide. With prices starting from £157,281 and only 10% payable on exchange, this could be the development that gets you on the Manchester property market.
Buy-to-let Borrowing for an Ageing UK Population
Traditionally borrowing gets harder as you get older, but it is now getting easier to secure a buy-to-let mortgage when you’re over 60. This doesn’t mean over 60s can’t get a mortgage. But lenders might impose an age limit for taking out the mortgage, plus a maximum age for when the mortgage term will need to end.
When it comes to buy-to-let, retired borrowers may have previously found it difficult to secure a mortgage to purchase a buy-to-let property. Lenders were reluctant to offer them finance, particularly if they were still in debt in their retirement.
With around 1,000 mortgage deals available for terms of up to 40 years, which means a buy to let borrower aged 45 years old can easily expect to have a mortgage on a private rented home for 45 years. This seems to be working as the latest buy to let mortgage data from lender trade body UK Finance reveals landlord remortgages are outnumbering loans to buy new homes to let by nearly three to one. Borrowing to buy a new property to rent dropped by 7.7 per cent to 4,800 for the 12 months to the end of February 2019. Remortgages were up 2.1 per cent with 14,400 loans agreed over the same term.
“While theoretically age should not be as big a concern for Buy to Let lenders as for a residential property, the reality is that it is still a factor and many borrowers do face upper age limits. When it comes to BTL mortgages, repayments aren’t usually covered by pension savings or work salary as with residentials. Instead, affordability will usually be determined by the expected rental income from tenants (alongside the usual factors such as loan to value and other individual circumstances).”
Online Mortgage Advisor
Buy-to-let lenders are encouraging borrowers to stay in the market well into retirement as they lift age limits on mortgages. Figures from consumer group Which? suggest two out of three of the 2,057 deals available to landlords have a maximum age limit of at least 85 years old. Some go farther – with 9 per cent offering mortgages to borrowers up to 90 years old and a fifth without any age limit at all.
Age limits might still be a factor, but when it comes to determining whether a buy-to-let investment is affordable or not, many lenders will focus more on the rental cover than the age of the borrower. As long as borrowers can demonstrate that the monthly rent payable on the property is enough to cover mortgage repayments by between 125% and 145%, the investment will be determined as affordable.
With the population living longer, people are still wanting or needing to borrow money for a multitude of reasons. Now lenders aren’t standing in the way as the number of buy-to-let products available on the market is at its highest level since the beginning of the financial crisis in 2007, with many of these products will be available to landlords requiring finance, regardless of their age.
London House Prices increase as Boris Johnson moves forward with stamp duty tax reform
As we look towards the October Brexit dead line, what is the current state of the UK property market and what effect has Boris Johnson had in the small time he has been prime minster.
Before Boris Johnson became the new PM, he outlined his plans for an emergency budget which would significantly cut stamp duty and potentially reignite a stumbling property market. As Brexit, economic uncertainty and fulfilling policy pledges play heavily on his mind, overhauling SDLT will undoubtedly be the easiest part of Johnson’s role as PM. In his quest to revive the property market, Boris pledged to overhaul the current SDLT thresholds by scrapping SDLT on properties worth less than £500,000. Currently, only properties priced under £125,000 on all current property owners or a £300,000 threshold for first-time buyers (FTBs) are immune from SDLT. The aim to stimulate the more expensive sections of the property market by reversing duty increases on homes valued over £1.5 million by reducing the 12% duty to 7%.
The Current Market Conditions
Average house prices saw an annual rise of 1.2% (to April 2019 Gov.UK House Price Index)
Highest level of year-on-year growth in followed by Liverpool (4.9%), Manchester (4.1%) and Birmingham (4.0%).
According to the same dataset, London saw a 0% change in house prices. (Hometrack UK Cities House Price Index)
Despite the ongoing Brexit-induced pessimism, the latest Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) report stated that there has been an increase in buyer enquiries after declines over the first half of 2019. 12-month expectations are indicating continued growth in sales volumes and prices.